Townhall Times Special: The Bihar Assembly Election 2025 has reached a decisive turning point. If EVMs function fairly and no irregularities occur, then by the afternoon of November 14, Bihar is set to witness the formation of an RJD-led government with a sweeping majority. This is not just a state-level power shift—it could mark a political earthquake with ripples all the way to Delhi. A defeat for the BJP in Bihar would mean the countdown for Modi’s exit from the Centre has already begun.
This time, the BJP borrowed heavily from its Maharashtra playbook, but on the ground, the strategy seems to have backfired. Despite relentless attacks and questions from the opposition, the BJP hesitated to name Nitish Kumar as its chief ministerial face. Meanwhile, several journalists aligned with the RSS went on record saying that Nitish would not be the CM this time. Those statements demoralized JDU’s grassroots workers, and many reportedly decided to sideline the BJP altogether.
Though Amit Shah and other senior BJP leaders later tried to smooth things over with damage-control statements, their efforts didn’t reach the masses. The record voter turnout this time has left observers divided — either the BJP has pushed JDU out, or the people of Bihar have pushed the BJP out of the state. The BJP’s promise of ₹10,000 for women and the entry of Prashant Kishor as a supposed “vote-splitter” may not yield the intended impact — the verdict will be clear on November 14.
If RJD and Congress resist internal greed and, even after winning more seats, support Nitish Kumar as chief minister, it could completely transform India’s political map. Should Nitish withdraw support from the Modi government, leaders like Chirag Paswan could soon join the RJD-JDU alliance. In the South, Chandrababu Naidu has already distanced himself from the BJP, which would further isolate Modi’s regime. The situation could boil down to two scenarios — either a revived UPA-like coalition takes shape, or the Modi government resorts to drastic emergency-style measures.
This election stands as the ultimate test of democracy. Bihar’s voters have turned out in record numbers, signaling their hunger for change. The BJP’s attempt to weaken the JDU is visible, but Nitish Kumar’s credibility and the RJD-led coalition’s strong base have kept the contest alive. If the Mahagathbandhan remains united, not only will Bihar see a new government, but national politics will feel the tremors. Bihar has once again proven that in a democracy, the real power doesn’t lie in Delhi—it lies with the people.
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